{"id":2949,"date":"2024-11-21T02:53:59","date_gmt":"2024-11-21T02:53:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lesindomptables.online\/?p=2949"},"modified":"2024-11-21T02:54:17","modified_gmt":"2024-11-21T02:54:17","slug":"russie-une-doctrine-nucleaire-revisitee-un-monde-en-alerte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lesindomptables.online\/index.php\/2024\/11\/21\/russie-une-doctrine-nucleaire-revisitee-un-monde-en-alerte\/","title":{"rendered":"Russie : une doctrine nucl\u00e9aire revisit\u00e9e, un monde en alerte."},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Mardi dernier, Vladimir Poutine a sign\u00e9 une version r\u00e9vis\u00e9e de la doctrine nucl\u00e9aire russe, un document sobrement intitul\u00e9 \u00ab Principes fondamentaux de la politique d\u2019\u00c9tat en mati\u00e8re de dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire \u00bb<\/em>. Derri\u00e8re ce titre bureaucratique se cache un contenu alarmant, qui abaisse le seuil d\u2019utilisation de l\u2019arsenal nucl\u00e9aire de Moscou, le plus grand au monde.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

La nouveaut\u00e9 ? Une ouverture \u00e0 l\u2019usage d\u2019armes nucl\u00e9aires en r\u00e9ponse \u00e0 une attaque conventionnelle appuy\u00e9e par une puissance nucl\u00e9aire. Cela pourrait inclure des frappes comme celles men\u00e9es mardi par l\u2019Ukraine, utilisant des missiles ATACMS fournis par les \u00c9tats-Unis, et visant la r\u00e9gion russe de Briansk. Le porte-parole du Kremlin, Dmitri Peskov, a confirm\u00e9 que de telles actions pourraient d\u00e9clencher une r\u00e9ponse nucl\u00e9aire, conform\u00e9ment \u00e0 ce nouveau cadre strat\u00e9gique.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Qu\u2019est-ce que la doctrine nucl\u00e9aire russe ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Introduite pour la premi\u00e8re fois en 2020, cette doctrine d\u00e9finit les situations dans lesquelles la Russie peut recourir \u00e0 ses armes nucl\u00e9aires. Le document actuel les d\u00e9crit comme une \u00ab mesure extr\u00eame et contrainte \u00bb<\/em>, destin\u00e9e \u00e0 pr\u00e9server \u00ab la souverainet\u00e9 et l\u2019int\u00e9grit\u00e9 territoriale de l\u2019\u00c9tat \u00bb<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elle pr\u00e9cise aussi que la dissuasion nucl\u00e9aire vise \u00e0 emp\u00eacher l\u2019aggravation de conflits militaires et \u00e0 dissuader tout agresseur potentiel, en lui rappelant \u00ab l\u2019in\u00e9vitabilit\u00e9 de repr\u00e9sailles \u00bb<\/em>. Toutefois, la derni\u00e8re version va plus loin en d\u00e9taillant les cas o\u00f9 une r\u00e9ponse nucl\u00e9aire pourrait \u00eatre envisag\u00e9e, m\u00eame en cas d\u2019attaques conventionnelles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n

Les nouveaux d\u00e9clencheurs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Selon la doctrine r\u00e9vis\u00e9e, la Russie pourrait utiliser des armes nucl\u00e9aires dans les situations suivantes :<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Une attaque avec des armes nucl\u00e9aires ou de destruction massive sur la Russie ou ses alli\u00e9s.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Une agression conventionnelle contre la Russie ou la Bi\u00e9lorussie mena\u00e7ant leur souverainet\u00e9 ou leur int\u00e9grit\u00e9 territoriale.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Une attaque impliquant un \u00c9tat non nucl\u00e9aire, mais soutenue par une puissance nucl\u00e9aire.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Une menace sur les infrastructures gouvernementales ou militaires critiques de la Russie, compromettant sa capacit\u00e9 de riposte nucl\u00e9aire.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    En outre, toute information fiable sur le lancement de missiles balistiques ou de drones tactiques traversant la fronti\u00e8re russe pourrait justifier une r\u00e9ponse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n

    Escalade ou bluff strat\u00e9gique ?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    L\u2019annonce de cette r\u00e9vision intervient seulement deux jours apr\u00e8s que Washington a autoris\u00e9 Kyiv \u00e0 utiliser des missiles longue port\u00e9e pour frapper des cibles en Russie. Ce calendrier n\u2019est pas anodin : le Kremlin semble vouloir envoyer un avertissement clair \u00e0 l\u2019Occident.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Pour autant, les experts divergent sur la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un recours imminent aux armes nucl\u00e9aires. Selon Jack Watling, chercheur au Royal United Services Institute au Royaume-Uni, ces menaces sont con\u00e7ues pour maintenir l\u2019Occident en alerte sans n\u00e9cessairement passer \u00e0 l\u2019action. Mais il avertit que la Russie pourrait intensifier d\u2019autres formes d\u2019agression, comme le sabotage sous-marin ou des attaques indirectes via des alli\u00e9s.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Dmitri Medvedev, vice-pr\u00e9sident du Conseil de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 russe, a toutefois tenu des propos plus explicites, qualifiant l\u2019usage de missiles de l\u2019OTAN contre le territoire russe d\u2019attaque directe des pays du bloc. Selon lui, cela pourrait justifier une riposte avec des armes de destruction massive contre Kyiv et les infrastructures de l\u2019OTAN.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n

    Une situation hautement volatile<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

    Tatiana Stanovaya, du Carnegie Russia and Eurasia Center, estime que ces menaces refl\u00e8tent une strat\u00e9gie visant \u00e0 placer l\u2019Occident face \u00e0 un dilemme : accepter les conditions de paix dict\u00e9es par Moscou ou risquer une confrontation nucl\u00e9aire.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Elle ajoute que cette posture pourrait aussi influencer les d\u00e9bats politiques aux \u00c9tats-Unis, mettant la pression sur l\u2019administration Biden tout en renfor\u00e7ant les arguments de ceux pr\u00f4nant une n\u00e9gociation directe avec Poutine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Quoi qu\u2019il en soit, la r\u00e9vision de cette doctrine marque un tournant dangereux. Alors que l\u2019escalade du conflit en Ukraine se poursuit, le monde reste suspendu aux d\u00e9cisions du Kremlin, avec une question cruciale : jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 Vladimir Poutine est-il pr\u00eat \u00e0 aller ?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Mardi dernier, Vladimir Poutine a sign\u00e9 une version r\u00e9vis\u00e9e de la doctrine nucl\u00e9aire russe, un document sobrement intitul\u00e9<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,6],"tags":[1024,1025],"class_list":["post-2949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-amerique","category-asie","tag-russie-une-doctrine-nucleaire-revisitee","tag-un-monde-en-alerte"],"yoast_head":"\nRussie : une doctrine nucl\u00e9aire revisit\u00e9e, un monde en alerte. - Les indomptables<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/lesindomptables.online\/index.php\/2024\/11\/21\/russie-une-doctrine-nucleaire-revisitee-un-monde-en-alerte\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Russie : une doctrine nucl\u00e9aire revisit\u00e9e, un monde en alerte. - 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